Thursday, November 04, 2004 |
It's a wonder that we ever bothered taking them seriously in the first place.
S
ame goes for certain election
predictors superstitions. Like the
Washington Redskins pre-election home game one, which may have held up had the team not moved to
Maryland Qanada*. Ditto for the
Nelson Model that correlates Super Bowl
loosing-team scores and any Olympics boycotts by a superpower, and which this election predicted a 59.3% al-Qerry share of the two-party vote!
In the Blogosphere some of the polling based projections were more close to the actual results than others. Still, quite a few were a lot closer than any of the mainstream media's final predictions. Also, at least one Web site can boast an Election Eve slam dunk.
What have to be the least empirically based predicators, however, are the now-infamous exit polls, seemingly wielded solely for propaganda and depress-the-voter purposes. At least their perpetrators did succeed at getting a court involved in their electioneering shenanigans—although probably not the kind of court they were predicting.
Along with their credibility, pollsters of the mainstream variety have lost their former powers to influence wishy-washy voters and thus affect elections. That, in my view, is yet another victory for which real mainstream Americans have much to be thankful.
* By the way, liberals. There's no need for any of you to move to Qanada. Simply shift parts of the border a bit south and you're there:
You might also want to persuade CNN's graphole department to lose its Atlanta digs for that Greater White North too, eh?
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